The Inexact Sciences

Ted-talking data fakers who write books about lying and rule-breaking . . . what’s up with that? ( statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu )

So, a few people emailed me about this story about fraud among high-profile business school professors. There was this news article by Stephanie Lee, who’s reported on some notable examples of bad research in the past. From her recent article, “A Weird Research-Misconduct Scandal About Dishonesty Just Got Weirder”:

Generalized Morality Culturally Evolves as an Adaptive Heuristic in Large Social Networks ( psyarxiv.com )

Why do people assume that a generous person should also be honest? Why do we even use words like “moral” and “immoral”? We explore these questions with a new model of how people perceive moral character. We propose that people vary in the extent that they perceive moral character as “localized” (varying along many...

Thinking about neither death nor poverty affects delay discounting, but episodic foresight does: Three replications of the effects of priming on time preferences ( www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov )

We outline three attempts to replicate experiments that reported priming effects on time preferences measured by delay discounting. Experiment 1 tested the claim that images of poverty prime impulsive choice in people from less affluent backgrounds compared ...

Evaluating the Replicability of Social Priming Studies ( psyarxiv.com )

To assess the replicability of social priming findings we reviewed the extant close replication attempts in the field. In total, we found 65 close replications, that replicated 46 unique findings. Ninety-four percent of the replications had effect sizes smaller than the effect they replicated, only 18% of the replications...

LLMs and plagiarism: a case study ( lcamtuf.substack.com )

A while back on this blog, I expressed a somewhat unpopular sentiment about large language models (LLMs) such as ChatGPT or Google Bard: “The technology feels magical and disruptive, but we felt the same way about the first chatbot — ELIZA — and about all the Prolog-based expert systems that came on its heels. This isn’t...

Evolutionary convergence and biologically embodied cognition ( royalsocietypublishing.org )

The study of evolutionary patterns of cognitive convergence would be greatly helped by a clear demarcation of cognition. Cognition is often used as an equivalent of mind, making it difficult to pin down empirically or to apply it confidently beyond the human condition. Recent developments in embodied cognition and philosophy of...

The Political Fragility of Metascience ( www.macroscience.org )

To the extent that the burgeoning field of metascience has a policy agenda, it is that science should be governed by rigorous science. We should test scientific practices using the scientific method. In large part, this policy agenda has included encouraging the adoption of methods like the randomized control trial (RCT) as the...

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