youronlyone , to Japan
@youronlyone@c.im avatar

How's your Azure Wood Dragon 2024 so far?

  1. ASEAN is getting cooked.
  2. Japan is preparing to get cooked as well.
  3. Flash floods in the Middle East and China.
  4. Hail storm in China.
  5. Huge tornadoes in the Middle East and the US.
  6. Looming war in Asia-Pacific.
  7. The North Korean puppet of China and Russia is getting more unstable day by day.
  8. More stronger earthquakes, not to mention volcano eruptions.

youronlyone , to Asia
@youronlyone@c.im avatar

If I were from , instead of using (which can also mean ), I'll push for . Noticed the play on words? “My” is the ISO two-letter ID for Malaysia; and also means “my” (mine) in English.

@asianpop

youronlyone , to Guilty Gear
@youronlyone@c.im avatar

This scene in the 2024 adaptation of the gave me the chills of what might happen if the issues explodes into .

@tv @scifi

youronlyone Mod , to Philippines, the Pearl of the Orient Seas
@youronlyone@c.im avatar

Good morning and the rest of / !

Heat index today in the : 31℃ at exactly 07:17 ACT.

Don't forget to bring, or buy, water, preferably mineral water (pH8 to pH10).


ACT = ASEAN Common Time (UTC+8)

@asean @pilipinas @philippines @pinoy @t2pub

18+ youronlyone , to Random stuff
@youronlyone@c.im avatar

Most people around the world dismiss how volatile the Asia-Pacific situation is. They fail to see the bigger picture.

The Asia-Pacific situation is deeply filled with age-old feuds that are still unresolved to this very day:

  • China-Japan
  • India-China
  • India-Pakistan
  • China-VietNam

And then there's the potential proxy war, and sadly always the victims, in the Korean Peninsula, with an unstable North to add to it.

People also forget to take into account that China do have allies: Russia and Iran.

  • Russia is currently engaged with a war with Ukraine. And let's not forget the previous war, it started before Ukraine.
  • Iran is a well-known state that controls Syria, Lebanon, and other groups/region. And we know that there is an ongoing Israel-Hamas issue, to mention one, which is Iran's proxy war against Israel.

If a war breaks out against China, it can easily, and fast, domino into a global conflict. We don't know the exact nature of the China-Iran-Russia alliance, but they probably can trigger their alliance if at least two of them are at war. If so, then it will enable these three countries to openly support each other. Send arms, and so on. (And let's not forget China's wild puppet that is North Korea.)

  • Russia will be emboldened with support from China and Iran.
  • Iran will more likely take advantage of it to openly engage Israel, instead of using its proxies.
  • China will use its leverage on African and South American countries (and a few others as well) to force them in staying neutral.

Countries/regions to watch out for in this scenario:
a. Pakistan. They'll try to stay as neutral as possible, but will probably find a reason to attack India. Will they ally themselves with China? More likely not. Their beef is with India. It will be a scenario of “we are not helping you China, we're doing this to end our historical feud with India”.

b. Turkey. Like Iran, let's be honest, Turkey also dreams of restoring the Ottoman Empire, if not the East Roman Empire. They're not friends with Iran/Persia, and so-so with the Arab nations.

c. Arab nations. While they don't like the modern state of Israel, they currently stay neutral because, like Israel, they don't like Iran. They don't want to see a modern Persian Empire. As well as, a modern Ottoman Empire. They will try to stay neutral for as long as possible, and will play their “chess pieces” very wisely. If it comes to a point that they have to choose a side, they'll pick the side that will benefit them the most. That is either Israel or Iran (or Turkey, if Turkey makes a move).

The three above can tip the war against China-Iran-Russia one way or another. And we haven't even considered how the EU will react; more likely to stop Iran. (Which is why Turkey will remain neutral.)

Another reason why a war against China is favourable for Russia and Iran; it will split the forces of the Allied forces. If the Allies give more focus against China, Russia can start invading former USSR states. The Allies won't let that happen, of course, so Iran will openly attack Israel to further split the Allied forces, weakening the fronts against China and Russia.

The Allied forces will more likely agree to lift all restrictions on Germany re: army. This will enable Germany to send its entire might to defend Ukraine and take control of Iran. Meanwhile, on the Asian front, the Allied forces more likely also agreed to lift all restrictions on Japanese forces.

(For those not aware, both Germany and Japan were restricted through their Constitution on (1) how big their military can be; (2) which arms they can develop and buy; and (3) what military forces they can send beyond their territory and for what purpose.)

If China starts to lose the war, China can also force African and South American countries to join their side, and open new war fronts at the back of Allied forces.

And let's not forget the unstable country called North Korea. If NoKor launches a nuke, it's game over for everyone; unless China stops it. (They probably will.)

It all started with the conflict in “East China Sea” and “South China Sea”.

youronlyone OP ,
@youronlyone@c.im avatar

And… is trying to escalate the Middle-East to new levels.

What is doing? Simple. They want to attack them so the China-Iran-Russia alliance can be triggered. Like I explained above, once that alliance is triggered, they can help each other in many ways, most especially militarily.

If this alliance is triggered, it will be even more dangerous to corner here in (), and will be in deeper trouble with its war with . Obviously, will more likely get into the picture, and we will have 3 flashpoints for .

I literally have no idea why everyone is ignoring the China-Iran-Russia alliance, not even the media is talking about it. It has been around for a long time. China and Russia are not bothering to trigger their alliance, they are willing to resolve their respective issues/wars on their own. Or, are the so-called “experts” and “think tanks” not doing their jobs? Or, someone is intentionally keeping the information away from the public?

youronlyone , to China
@youronlyone@c.im avatar

This is what I said a few weeks back, no, since last year, regarding the situation in .

The situation is not good at all. China is getting nearer in getting what it wants, for others to make a mistake, or a wrong move, so can tell the world, "they started it, we just defended ourselves".

https://www.manilatimes.net/2024/03/07/news/danger-of-war-higher-marcos/1935656

P.S.

This is also why I disagree with the think-tanks who proposed an India-Japan-Philippines cooperation, India won't be able to help, their India-China issue might accidentally get dragged and turn this into a nuclear world war.

My idea is better, a Japan-Korea-Philippines alliance/sphere (with a potential to turn into a confederation in the future). We can keep it an issue about China's 10-dash line ("South China Sea" + ) and "East China Sea".

@pilipinas

youronlyone , to China
@youronlyone@c.im avatar

If you're paying attention in it gets more and more closer to sparking a war, possibly the beginning of . Of course, we don't want that to happen. But mainland and are really working in tandem in pushing everyone to a corner.

Here is their game:

  • Push everyone anti-China and anti-NoKor to make the first move, or to make a mistake.
  • This way, they can blame them and point fingers.

China is already doing just that. Changing the narrative that it was the who first made an aggressive move and they simply reacted similarly.

The worse is, no one is calling anyone to stop escalating the "actions"/"reactions" anymore. It seems that the world powers knew the only way to resolve this is to have another global war.

Year of the

@pilipinas

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